Hwc - Weekend Storm Thread

[HWC]

Hi Everyone...

First off.. I am sorry I don't post snow accumulations for more locations of the East Coast but I am not an expert for other locations.

First of all anyone telling you that this is going to be another 1996 storm is nut's period.

1996 came out of the gulf and shot up I95 snowed like hell 18 hours then stopped 28 inches here in Harrison w/ Thunder !!

Bottom line is cloudy on Satruday snow starts in Newark METRO area say 4 to 7 pm, snow is expected to become heavy at times during Satruday night then things get tricky A) does the snow start to mix witth sleet and rain or does it stay all snow. I think it's going to be a close call.

My first call....

3 to 6 inches of snow 75% chance

6 to 8 inches of snow 70% chance

8 to 12 inches of snow 60%

Chance of the storm going to far south to affect us
only at 25% chance.

All Rain no snow only a 5% chance of that.

Ok there you have it. I will try to update this
each day until the event.

Comments ALWAYS welcomed !!

Tony M
Harrison NJ
www.harrisonweather.com

[T-Zab]

Hi Tony good to have you on board here for the east coast guys.
Would you happen to know Tom Skilling here in Chicago ? Sure would love for him to give me a "snow plowing report".
Todd

[HWC]

I had never spoke to Tom but have seen him on TV to me he is one of the best around. He reminds me of Bob Harris that use to be out of NYC TV market. Anyway I wish we had him here on the east coast our TV weather people really be stink except a very small few.

Tony

[HWCWX]

5PM on Thursday Evening NO CHANGE from my first call.

Tony

[wyldman]

Will this storm get far enough inland to affect the great lakes area at all ? I've seen a few of the models,and it looks like it will,but no mention of anything up here.

[Honest Mike]

Hi Tony, thanks for posting. :) This one may be "the one". :p Thanks so much for all your effort lately, it is appreciated. Mike

[2004F550]

Fox 61 John Carrol just gave his 10 pm forcast lol.......for Ct he says on a southernly track the least we could get is 6-10, if it slides north at least 12-18...........i wonder what this guy is smoking.......for worst case i heard we only get like 3" and if everything goes right 6-10"..................and now he changes everything up........never trusted fox 61 for anything anyway

[westernforme]

you guys seem to know quite a bit. what do you think about the ohio valley with this storm specificly central ky

[HWC]

Guys.. I only forecast for the NYC Metro area- Really don't have time to look into these other areas and give a forecast I am sorry.

On Northern NJ - Very heavy snowfall rates are possible Satruday Night into Sunday it's going to be very interesting the 12 inch snow forecast MIGHT turn out to be way underdone. With that said back to some more forecasting.

Tony

[HWC]

SNOW FORECAST
HARRISON WEATHER CENTER
HARRISON, NEW JERSEY
11:30 PM EST - FRIDAY - JAN 21 2005
FORECASTER: MONDARO
WWW.HARRISONWEATHER.COM

*** LOCALLY 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW IN NORTHERN NJ ***

THIS EVENING COMPUTER MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT
THAT THE NYC METRO AREA INCLUDING NORTHERN NJ WILL
RECIEVE THE HUGE SNOWFALL SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

SNOW SHALL MOVE INTO NORTHERN NJ FROM 11AM TO 2 PM ON SATURDAY AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE HIEGHT OF THE SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG
WITH A RARE SNOW THUNDERSTORM.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS AND 20S WITH
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDTIONS WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, IN WIDE OPEN OPENS DRIFTS WILL BE MEASURE
IN FEET AS WINDS GUST FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST
AT 35 TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

SNOW EDS BY NOON ON SUNDAY WITH SOME CLEARING LATER
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION: 12 TO 24 INCHES.

END

NNNN

[Chuck Smith]

Right now, on radar, there is snow over us here. Nothing coming down yet though.....

~Chuck

[Chuck Smith]

I guess I got what I asked for. It's coming down now :D

~Chuck

[Honest Mike]

Just started here too Chuck, like 10 minutes ago. Just flurries right now. Oh, were really gonna get it this time! :eek: Just remember to plow with the storm fellas. This is gonna be a big one! Mike :)